He offers a higher floor than many of the options on the board at other positions. Then, the actual NFL draft happened and dumped most everything on its head as it . I strongly considered passing on Kyle Trask for options at running back and wide receiver in the third, based on the possibility I could target Jamie Newman in the fourth, so it's nice to know that plan would have imploded. Sal: "This was a wild card pick, honestly. His upside screams playmaker like Patrick Mahomes. Most Popular . 13-24 2nd round, etc. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. Still, at this point, I was looking for playing time upside, and his mentality and work ethic should land him a role somewhere.". Trey Lance showed out in 2019, throwing 28 touchdowns against zero interceptions while rushing for over 1,000 yards and 14 touchdowns. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Not affiliated with the National Football League (NFL). - Draft Simulator: Draft against the computer -. All I can say is good luck to the NFC South stopping the Falcons offense. Trevor Lawrence's production profile makes him as good a bet as we've seen since Andrew Luck for immediate elite production. That being said, Chase's 2019 season was one for the history books, as he set the record for a single-season in the SEC with 1,780 receiving yards and 20 touchdowns. Dynasty Superflex Startup Draft Rankings (2021 Fantasy Football) We recently shared our rankings for dynasty startup leagues. I Decided to take who many believe to be the best RB in this draft. Terrace Marshall Jr., Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kadarius Toney and Tylan Wallace saw negligible change in their draft values between the two mocks. He certainly has a high ceiling, and as Paul mentions, he expanded his repertoire beyond the slot in 2020. His route running is fantastic, hes very shifty, and he is great after the catch. Gainwell can line up out wide and may very well be the best pass-catching running back in this class. I love his versatility, and in Superflex leagues, Id be happy to land him in a strong QB draft.". 1.06) N. Harris RB PIT That, combined with a likely first-round NFL Draft selection, will be more than enough to justify his selection here.". He may lack the explosiveness to expand his game too far. Quarterback Davis Mills joined a Houston Texans team with a giant void of unknown at quarterback given Deshaun Watson's legal troubles. 2.03) E. Moore WR NYJ While most fantasy managers are going with Chase right now, Pitts positional value makes him the better pick. He is a great target here. Sal: "Im going to group these two picks together. Superflex Rookie Dynasty ADP. With seven WRs off the board, I like Toneys floor as a big-slot WR whose ability to create separation in space is excellent. Gainwell may be destined for more of a complementary role in the NFL, but the same could be said for Michael Carter to some extentand he doesn't have Hubbard's senior year stat-depression. All I can say is good luck to the NFC South stopping the Falcons offense. Casey: "I like his size and ball skills, I worry a little about his issues creating separation against NFL corners, but his upside made this pick in the fourth a no-brainer.". ADP Sources: Allen Robinson will surely be gone after this year, and if they struggle, so will Matt Nagy and Ryan Pace. Playoff-Only Top 70 Rankings. We lack the important information of which teams these prospects will play for in the NFL or how they're being valued by the NFL marketplace, and due to the unique and patently-absurd 2020 that has recently passed, we won't even get combine numbers to help guide our assessments of the relative athleticism of these prospects. Elijah Mitchell brings impressive speed, agility, and receiving chops to a San Francisco running back room that's six players deep with his inclusion. This means Javian Hawkins will destroy all expectations and will be an immediate RB1. San Francisco also signed free-Agent center Alex Mack, drafted guard Aaron Banks in the second round of the draft, and drafted tackle Jaylon Moore for depth in the fifth round, who's a physically gifted project at the position. Justin: "At this point in the draft I tend to lean towards running backs if Im in a tiebreaker situation between positions. Previous Rookie Drafts: 1QB (Post-NFL Draft) | Superflex | Superflex/TE-Premium | Pre-Draft vs. Post-Draft. Data from 2551 fantasy football mock drafts between May 25, 2016 and September 2, 2016. His speed, agility and breakout age of 18.9 makes him a good candidate to rise up the depth chart quickly. During that span, the TE1 outscored TE10 by an average of 98 PPR points, while the WR1 outscored WR10 by just 79 PPR points. First Round QBs Should Push Down Talent & Increase Value of Second Round Picks: If you play in a Non-Superflex format, youll find that there arent very many exciting players left once the second round begins. . Backup QBs Have Value in Superflex: Be prepared for your Superflex opponents to invest real fantasy assets in passers who are backups on their own teams. He'll probably need an injury in front of him to ascend the depth chart wherever he ends up in the NFL. I was joined by 4for4's Brandon Niles, George Kritikos, Justin Redwards, Kevin Zatloukal and Sal Stefanile for both drafts. Brandon's take reflects my own quite well; Larry Rountree may end up on the tail end of a running back depth chart and will need to clearly outwork and outperform the players ahead of him in practice to have a shot at fantasy relevancy. George: "I have a type at wide receiver with Atwell a poor mans version of Elijah Moore. Dynasty Fantasy Football: Post-draft rookie-only rankings, and be warned they are top heavy . My team is playing for the future as I dont think Im going to win this year, but plan to make a run for the championship no later than 2023. Make no mistake, Trevor Lawrence is the best quarterback prospect since Andrew Luck.Rarely do we see true freshmen dominate as Lawrence did in 2018, and over his three seasons at Clemson, Lawrence exhibited excellent accuracy, the ability to make good reads, and great footwork. Matt: "I am shocked to see Collins fall to me with the last pick of this mock draft. No qualms here. While he wont reproduce his 1,856 yards and 23 touchdown campaign that brought home the Heisman Trophy, Smith will be a target monster for the Eagles and have no issue returning value for years to come. We are tracking startup draft results from our high-stakes DFWC leagues which has created our Advanced ADP numbers! Pro Football Network, LLC. Hes the type of dynamic athlete who typifies todays NFL and should become a big-play threat and movable chess piece for an NFL offense that will lead to solid fantasy stats.". Terrace Marshall Jr. is a great pick here by Casey and represents a slight tier break at the wide receiver position, according to George Kritikos's rookie rankings. George Kritikos recently wrote a Pre-NFL Draft vs. Post-NFL Draft article that utilized the same four drafters executing both rookie mocks in a 1QB format, breaking down what changes the NFL Draft brought on these offensive prospects. Rhamondre Stevenson may be slow, but you would be too at 6-foot-0 and 230+ pounds. Shi Smith is another undersized but fast wide receiver prospect destined for duties in the slot. Top-12 rookies will be 1st round picks. 4.10) L. Rountree RB LAC Heading into the NFL Draft, I tried to move off the 1.01 for a kings ransom. 2021 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Mock Draft | First Round From 1.01 to the end of the fourth round, we will begin things in the same way the 2021 NFL Draft began. Fields might be the most talented QB to play for the Bears in, well, ever. I dont care if I have Travis Kelce and George Kittle on my team already. How could you go wrong with, 5) JaMarr Chase (WR1 Cincinnati Bengals), The Bengals actually did it. Amari Rodgers shared Moore's rocketship up the ranks, going from the 3.11 to the 2.06, which can be attributed mostly to his new partnership with Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay. What is Rookie ADP? Brandon: "Rountree is probably just another guy at the position, but at this point in the draft, he provides two-down and red-zone potential as part of a committee. Allmendinger Has Work To Do Sunday At Vegas. Williams has compact size at (5-foot-10, 220 pounds) and preternatural balance. I could be rewarding certain teams with additional rookie picks for our league and I want to get an idea of what caliber players they will be drafting. 1.08) T. Etienne RB JAX Copyright 2019-2023. Collins went from the final pick of the pre-NFL Draft mock to the ninth pick of the third round after the draft. Matt: "This is tremendous value for the sticky-handed speedster out of Alabama. The landing spot is a perfect fit. Up to this point, this 2021 Superflex rookie mock draft has followed my rookie rankings. All free! 5.08) I. Born to be an NFL slot receiver.". Fantasy Football Calculator, Dynasty League Football, Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com It's certainly possible Aaron Rodgers forces a trade out of Green Bay or sits out his age-37 season, but count me among those who believe he'll be starting for the Packers come September 12th. He'll also have Tua Tagovailoa as his quarterback, and he's got ideal size for the position at 6-foot-5 and 254 pounds. Kyler Murray Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, CeeDee Lamb Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Javonte Williams Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Aaron Jones Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, AJ Dillon Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings. It's 6 points per pass TD and also full-PPR scoring. Earlier late-round rookie targets like Demetric Felton, Larry Rountree, Jaret Patterson, Kylin Hill and Jermar Jefferson all fell out of the NFL Draft, and subsequently the second dynasty rookie mock as well, but they all ended up on NFL teams as undrafted free agents worth adding to your watch list. He is an explosive runner with a great release. In my mind, this part of the draft is truly the inflection point for 2021 Superflex, where drafters need to either plant a flag on their QB3 behind Lawrence and Fields, or make the decision to grab one of the top-three running backs or wide receivers. The next step on the, 1) Trevor Lawrence (QB1 Jacksonville Jaguars), 2) Trey Lance (QB2 San Francisco 49ers), Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. When Gordon is gone, Williams combination of talent and opportunity should make him a far more valuable fantasy asset than Etienne or Waddle. For in-season advice, use our rankings to find out Who should I start? Jermar Jefferson is another prospect who may be destined for a complementary role in the NFL, but he put up impressive rushing totals at Oregon State. I have the 1.02 pick in this 5-round rookie draft. If Pitts is anywhere near his hype and can find your starting lineup in the first couple years of his career he will be much more valuable than any other player in this range.". We have assembled a group of our. Generally, data from Sunday's games will be available early Tuesday . Wise words from this Andrew guy. You probably won't want to draft from this. Jamie Newman fell out of the fourth round in the post-NFL Draft mock, but was signed by the Eagles and is worth keeping an eye on in case Jalen Hurts falters. Like what you see? 5.03) K. Hill RB GB Also please subscribe to the Fantasy Couch YouTube channel! Chatarius "Tutu" Atwell is not a large man by any measure approaching NFL prospect standards. 3.08) T. Atwell WR LAR Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! His potential trajectory is higher than all other 2021 dynasty rookies. 5.10) S. Fehoko WR DAL Are you looking to contact Customer Support about a subscription or account related question? Do Not Sell My Personal Information. You should demand a future first if you are trading away an early second in Superflex this year and perhaps more. Justin: "As we've seen over the last few years, having an upper-echelon tight end is a huge difference-maker. Winning the Heisman after a 2020 senior season that saw him put up 1,856 yards and 23 touchdowns will go a long way toward looking past his stature. Dynasty Rookie Average Draft Position (2016), 12 teams All Players. There is one quarterback who is being slightly overvalued in this fantasy draft class, however. 3.07) J. Palmer WR LAC Amongst the 2021 rookies for dynasty, Lance might very well have the highest ceiling and lands in literally the perfect situation. Both Trey Lance and Justin Fields are incredible talents and equally deserve this draft selection. The knocks against him include his size (5-foot-10, 205 pounds) and his reduced rushing totals in 2020, but the upside of his all-around skillset and big-play potential outweigh the minor flaws in his prospect profile. As I said for Lance, both he and, 4) Najee Harris (RB1 Pittsburgh Steelers), I know I said pick No. Waddle is my pre-draft WR2 in the 2021 classhe is a sharp route runner and has great athleticism to round out his game.". 6 is too good to pass up. Welcome to the late-fourth-round of a fantasy rookie draft. Many players' values are also dependent on whether a roster is contending for a title or in the process of rebuilding, but in general . The Curious Case of Javonte Williams: People are understandably concerned when a talented runner like Javonte Williams joins a team with an iffy offensive line and an established running back (Melvin Gordon). 3.06) K. Trask QB TB 2021 at 2:01 pm ET 2 min read . All Harris did in 2019 was command the majority of Alabama's rushing attempts and explode for 1,224 yards and 20 touchdowns. View current ADP data. Khalil Herbert didn't really get a reasonable chance to show his capabilities in his college career at Virginia Tech. Hills lack of explosiveness is a reason his fantasy stock will see him in this range, but there is use for a north-south runner with exceptional ball security.". 5.12) J. Patterson RB WSH. He can operate out of the backfield or out of the slot, and hell be a nightmare for linebackers to try to handle in space.". That isnt the case in this years Superflex drafts, though, with intriguing talents like Trey Sermon and Michael Carter regularly falling into the teens. Use this ADP data for free in your website or application with our REST API. 2021 dynasty fantasy football rankings, organized by tiers and positions, with notes on player values. Enjoy Startup Draft Advanced ADP! If you are in the third slot, all you do is select whichever QB falls to you in your 2021 dynasty rookie mock drafts. Soooo, Riley Ferguson is not a rookie, he was a 2018 quarterback prospect out of Memphis. If you're going to draft a rookie tight end not named Kyle Pitts, you could do a whole lot worse than Hunter Long out of Boston College. 4.05) C. Powell WR KC Granted, Atwell would lap me at least four times on a track of any length, which is why he has a chip and a chair. Selected at pick No. 33.6. You won't see this very often in Superflex rookie drafts with Trevor Lawrence so strongly entrenched as the consensus number one pick, but I wouldn't dismiss Justin's selection here. Win Big With RotoBaller Yes, I know how many games he played and the competition, but I dont care, and neither did the 49ers when they selected him as the third overall player. 3.11) K. Mond QB MIN If you play in fantasy leagues that start only one quarterback at a time (Non-Superflex), the 2021 rookie class will be admittedly top-heavy. Email marketing by StrikeStack. This pick was made because the timer ran out while I was asleep. A couple of months have passed since I recapped a pre-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft. Hunter Long might end up as my most-drafted tight end in dynasty in 2021. With that being said, that was not with Meyer as the head coach. Justin: "Carter is unlikely to ever find a bell-cow role at the professional level but depending on landing spot, his receiving skills and elusiveness could be exploited for very useful fantasy outputs.". All rights reserved. Managers in this format can get desperate for QB depth, and that desperation will force reserve passers with no immediate fantasy value (Kyle Trask and Kellen Mond) ahead of position players who have a much clearer path to fantasy relevance. MORE 2021 DYNASTY CONTENT: Player Profiles & Strategy | Rookie Rankings | Top 200 Overall Rankings: Superflex + Non-Superflex | NFL Mock Draft | NFL Draft Big Board | Rookie Mock Draft. With this years elite QB class forcing potential starters at RB and WR down the board, fantasy managers should be valuing their early second-round picks more than usual. He has been the pick for managers and the Jaguars for quite some time, and nothing has changed here. Theres not much more analysis to this pick. 4for4 Fantasy Football. Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community! He will start the season behind Cam Newton, but how long that remains the case is anyones guess. Najee Harris stepped into an Alabama backfield as a freshman in 2018 behind Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs, yet still managed to command 121 wildly-efficient touches. 1.12) J. Waddle WR MIA, Round 2 Okay, fine, he's an undersized prospect who would need to follow a Dion Lewis-like path to fantasy relevancy, but he has legitimate speed and agility, and these third- and fourth-round rookie picks are all dart throws. I ran a post-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft where I'll be looking at the changing values from that first Superflex mock in March compared to the more recent mock in May. He also displayed excellent accuracy on throws down the field. It's potentially dangerous to fade an outlier in the size category with this much talent and production against SEC opponents. This is a SuperFlex league where you can start up to two quarterbacks, and you have to start three wide receivers. Fields is a great pick here in Superflex rookie draftsand a steal if he falls past the 1.02. On average, five passers are going in the first round of Superflex drafts, and thats an abnormality that can only be explained by the unusual talent level of this quarterback class. Sermon lands in an excellent zone-blocking offense in San Francisco, but faces touch competition from the 49ers' strong group of veteran running backs. Zach Wilson captivated the NFL with his play at BYU and secured his No. Thanks again for the response. Marshall will be just 20 years old when he's drafted in April, and while his fantasy stock might sit a bit lower due to his weight (200 pounds at 6-foot-3), he has speed to burn and a nose for the end zone. I film every single fantasy draft, including this one. Those playing in Superflex leagues should have a much more exciting experience with this 2021 class. 2021 Dynasty Superflex Rookie Mock Draft | First Round, In what seemed like a whirlwind 72 hours, the 2021 NFL Draft is now behind us. Get breaking player news and analysis directly in your inbox. The positional ambiguity could cause him to slip in rookie dynasty drafts. It's part of the one-of-a-kind Premium Membership! Moore ended up with second-round draft capital, a quarterback in Zach Wilson taken second overall, and a potential roadblock in Jamison Crowder potentially avoided with Crowder appearing likely to be cut. 1.05) J. If you choose an RB, Harris is by far and away the top running back in 2021 dynasty rookie mock drafts and remains the same here. Justin: "As a developmental slot receiver, Shi Smith is someone you would want to be keeping on your taxi squad for a year or two, without a ton of roads that lead to immediate fantasy production. ADP: Average Draft Position (ADP) is a list of NFL players ordered by their average position taken in fantasy football drafts. The round was also extremely wide receiver heavy, with nine of the 12 picks being spent on the position. Like Sage Surratt, Jamie Newman had the pleasure of being on my roster in the only college football fantasy league I've ever played in during the 2019 season. The former Wake Forest passer may not ever become anything, but his game film indicates he is more mobile and has a better arm than Book. He caught 28 of 32 targets for 591 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. But how will the team fair around him? Harris possesses both the strength and the hands to be a three-down back in the NFL.". The Shanahan family has turned multiple late-round backs into fantasy-relevant weapons over the years, and Mitchell's fit for this scheme means he could be their next bargain. More from 4for4 Staff. 4.01) T. Wallace WR BAL The Senior Bowl has concluded, your dynasty leagues have been flipped over and everyone is focused on the value of the 2021 fantasy football rookie picks. The good news, though, is that all is not lost. The late-third is an excellent range for a very interesting trio of wide receivers in Nico Collins, Tutu Atwell, Anthony Schwartz and Josh Palmer. The usual adage of "don't expect production from a rookie tight end" can probably be thrown out the window in this case. If you play in Superflex, you can expect to see a valuable fantasy starter sitting there at pick #12 which isnt necessarily the case in Non-Superflex Rookie Drafts.