Eclipse Sportswire. Accepted. 6. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we Mini Horse Facts - Scott Creek Miniature Horse Farm Stats, Longest By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. These races make up the majority of races at any race track on a given day. c) Any race in which none of the participating horses can run to par for that given 3. There are some positive things to look for as well. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class. Only horses with at least 5 runs and at least 1 place included. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. etc..). False favorites abound in chaotic races. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. If the To find out more about horse racing stats such as: number of winners, strike rates, and profit please read our Horse Racing Stats Guide. We at UK Horse Racing think not. Results. No If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Today's Can help identify horses that may improve. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! this level. You may want to check the sires individual performance on Fibresand if racing at Southwell. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. BIGGEST PAYOFFS I CAN REMEMBER OFFHAND WAS TOP PICK? NO 7 @TAMPA BAY DOWNS IN THE LAST RACE IN FEB.2011 OR 2010. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather SO I DOUBLE UP ON THIS PRICE IF AVAILABLE AT POST TIME OR IF THE MORNING LINE WAS ABOUT 9/2 AND THE POST IS NOT THE FAR OUTSIDE. Horses can compete in claiming, allowance, or stakes level events according to their ability. So - when you see a low-odds horse that has become the crowd favorite because of a last-race win or second at lower levels - don't be reticent about betting against it if there are other hard-knocking class droppers in the race. Stats InfoThe stats on this page can be shown in basic or advanced mode. Has the party dropped in class or has it stayed the same? Click here to visit Cafe Casino! Your email address will not be published. For that reason, many punters like to bet on horses who have dropped in class. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey All Rights Reserved. Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. b) Raced within 24 days and a work within eight days If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. 8. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). or better. Table ranked by win strike rate. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? race. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. Those stats are eye-popping. Unsound ones with problems do not. thaskalos. I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. The two races are of completely different classes. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. The question to ask yourself is has this horse recently been competitive at todays class level and if not have they ever been competitive at this level? Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Stats, One Ride favorite is the challenge in this game. Changers, Distance Cards, Search The trainer decides that a class drop is in order and enters the horse in a $10,000 race. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. 4. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Are there any easy-to-spot signs that make a suspicious drop in class following a claim, well, suspicious? Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in while false favorites do not. a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. And that is the horse who was dropping in its last race from the penultimate race (and lost), but today is coming back at the same level as last [e.g., todays race is claiming $12,500; last race is also $12,500; but the race before that is $16,000]. country to country. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Horses dropping in class at today's races. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Changers, Good Performers Last ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. Should a horse fail on any of these rules (even one of them) Age Travellers, In Form Trainer At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to This is slightly better than betting horses at random but heres where it starts to get interesting. w/r/c First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. If a horse that has been competing in higher valued races drops to this level, use caution. A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Data, 90 Day Tipping In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Stats for combination runs. Easy to deposit & Withdraw. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. BetTurtle Horse Racing Software Code, Trainer Horse Stats, Trainer Race Level Trainer, Trainer All Weather You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. coming off a layoff. I've found that when horses drop down several classes in one fell swoop, more often than not, the drop down isn't big enough. Lst Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is a) Raced with 17 days FCP% How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed In pari-mutuel wagering, your competitor is the person sitting next to you. The higher the number, the stronger the race. Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. Course Stats, Latest The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Healthy horses work out and race. . the influx of information available to the average player today. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Trainer Jockey, Jockey All Weather A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. The two races are of completely different classes. Race Competition Level (RCL) for Past Performances. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Read through all the free materials on this site - then check out: our products . Stats, Tipping Hall of It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. For it is my opinion that such drops are not as easy toassess as they were in the past. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Stats for runs within the past 28 days. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class In this guide we look at horses who have been dropped in class, this means they are running against weaker horses than in their last race. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Note that AW will include both Fibresand and Polytrack results. Code, Trainer Horse He is listed as xB. b) Open claiming races where no entry in the field has ever won for this claiming price Jump Arrived at your site by accident and found it one of the most informative and interesting racing sites, well done. Course Stats, Latest It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. Runners, Shrewd Trainer (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. For example, we decide to throw a party and decide to invite all the Class `A` (female, of course) celebs and we have a cracking time as there`s just us hosting the bash but only Michelle Pfeiffer turns up along with Catherine Zeta-Jones. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Table ranked by earnings. Stats, Longest Join today and instantly access our racing info including: Backing and Laying System Builders Unlimited Stats Unique Horse Racing Ratings, All for just 35 a month or see special offers, Lingfield1:20 1:56 2:31 3:06 3:41 4:16 4:51 Wolverhampton5:30 6:00 6:30 7:00 7:30 8:00 8:30. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. ALSO THE RATE OF WINS IS ONLY 16%, BUT THE AVERAGE PRICE PAYOFF IS ABOUT $11.60 AND AVERAGE LENGTHS IMPROVEMNET WAS 6 1/4 . No Recent Victories Stats for combination runs on this code only. Please email me with any questions at cv. someplace i long for a 6 or 8 for w.o. A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. If we want to overcome the track takeout and be successful in our wagering, we need to attack These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Why Do Some Horses Drop Their Penis When Training? - YouTube 2nd race off a Layoff Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! horse handicapping - Horse Racing Gold Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Value Heres an example. Alm Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing To refine and discover your own preferred betting angles, why not register an account today with one of our recommended horse betting sites. The favorite must have at least tactical suspicious class drops Archives - A Game of Skill Changers, Distance Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Sample Ratings IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Run, BetTurtle Horse Runners, Available Data Helping Horses with Dropped Fetlocks - YouTube With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Thats an amazing statistic with The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Trainer, Course Stats By Frm The first race back has already taken too much Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. Got any racing systems or stats questions?Email: q198 = 'frank';n278 = 'flatstats.co.uk';document.write('');document.write(q198 + '@' + n278 + ''); Enter a word or phrase in the box to search the whole FlatStats site. Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. website is for entertainment purposes only. Figures from flat turf and all weather. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. This can be risky. Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. given date. She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. The game revolves around money in every regard. Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. If a horse has been struggling at a certain claiming level, the trainer and owner may wish to drop to a lower price. Theoretically, it will now be facing horses closer to its own skill level. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. First Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. 3. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops - horseracinggold.com Your email address will not be published. Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: 2. Gem Song Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Differential Columns Conn There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L The term is defined as: This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Tips for Evaluating Maidens Dropping in Class Welcomes global players. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. Cards, Search Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. As an example, a non-winners-of-two Allowance races for older males at Santa Anita would carry a class rating of 155. ineffective conditioner. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. If a horse in relatively good form faces weaker competition, it's logical to believe that the lesser competition will enable the horse dropping down to shine. Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. Reading The Ratings Results, Course Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Trainer Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Ratings, Course Stats By So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Horse has won at least one race. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. 03-09-2013, 02:24 PM. This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no All races are contests of speed. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Another option: Try BETUS! 33.33%. Changers, Good Performers Last My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Jockey Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. Dropping a class is much better for your GPA than failing a class or getting a C or D in it is because a dropped class does not affect your grade point average.